Miles on the Tank: Who Owns Rounds 11 & 12?

Championship rounds expose conditioning and mentality. Crawford’s recent tape screams “closer,” while Canelo’s super-middleweight excursions show mixed fuel efficiency.

Trend lines In fights that reach 9-12, Crawford’s punch output rises; Canelo’s historically dips (see Bivol film).

Crawford has a Round-12 KO (Benavidez); Canelo’s late finishes skew earlier (Kovalev Rd 11).

Scorecard politics Judges often reward the fighter “finishing strong.” If Bud sweeps 11-12, a close fight tilts his way—even without a stoppage.

Betting angle Over-10.5 rounds sits at –340. A Crawford Late-KO (Rds 10-12) is a juicy +3100 on some boards—ideal for tiny exposure.