Short-range physics favour the champ
If this bout shrinks to elbow-space, the power physics favor the Mexican champion.
Data snapshot Canelo lands ≈ 60 % of power shots inside one foot; Crawford nearer 40 %.
Bud often clinches after a single short shot; Canelo turns clinches into uppercuts and rib-breakers.
Strength & leverage Canelo’s thicker torso lets him bully in ties-up; at 168 lb he rag-dolls welter converts.
Strategic forks For Canelo: Cut ring, pin on ropes, fire compact hooks.
For Crawford: Touch-and-tie, force resets, don’t trade chest-to-chest.
Betting angle A prop on “Any fighter knocked down from a body shot” is live because Canelo’s inside work targets the solar plexus. If available near +400, it’s attractive given stylistic clash.
Knock-down via body shot
Canelo's inside work targets the solar plexus.